- US reports more than 500 deaths in a day for first time
- Coronavirus death toll exceeds 9/11 death toll
- US confirms largest one-day case jump
- Russia reports jump in cases, deaths
- Maryland, Virginia and DC all locked down
- New York reports largest daily spike in hospitalizations
- UK reports another 1k+ cases
- France reports biggest 1-day jump in cases, death toll passes China’s
- Global death total passes 40k
- New York reports 14% jump in new cases
- Thailand warns it will prosecute all “April Fools Day” coronavirus jokers
- US death toll passes China’s
- China plans to announce “asymptomatic” carriers of the novel coronavirus
- New Jersey cements No. 1 spot, Calif. reports new batch of cases
- NYC reports first minor died from COVID-19
- Dr. Fauci warns he fears virus will return this fall
- A Dutch centenarian survives COVID-19, joining an Italian man who did the same
- Prince Charles exits isolation
- Ford, GE warn 100-day window for producing 50k ventilators doesn’t start until April 20
- Tokyo reports another rash of new cases tied to travelers
- Spain reports third straight ‘deadliest day yet;’
- Spain reports rental tenant-support package
- Migrant in Greek camp tests positive
- FEMA sends 250 ambulances to NYC, 500 paramedics
- CDC weighs asking Americans to wear masks outside their homes at all times
- Orban takes unilateral power in Hungary
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Update (1750ET): New York State reported the biggest single-day surge in the number of patients hospitalized with coronavirus, Gov. Andrew Cuomo said during Tuesday’s press conference.
The governor, appearing more exhausted than usual, said that the 1,412 coronavirus patients hospitalized on Monday marked the biggest single-day increase since the start of the outbreak in the state. Their inclusion brings the total number of hospitalizations to nearly 11,000, including 2,710 people in intensive care.
“I’m tired of being behind this virus,” Cuomo said. He then called on New Yorkers to continue practicing ‘social distancing’ during the weeks ahead.
Some 17,000 national guard troops have been mobilized around the country, including thousands in New York State, to help with the government effort.
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Update (1730ET): Already nearly a half hour late (in classic White House form), President Trump and the coronavirus task force are delivering their Tuesday press briefing.
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Update (1600ET): As we noted earlier, there was a sharp jump in deaths reported by the British government on Tuesday as officials included deaths linked to the virus among people who were not hospitalized. It’s a sign that the true death toll might be 20% higher than what’s been reported. But it’s difficult to say for certain.
By March 20, a total of 210 deaths in England and Wales were related to the virus, new figures from the Office of National Statistics showed, compared with a previous count of 170 hospital deaths reported by the health department. Still, there’s doubt whether the current number of 1,740 deaths in the UK would be much different.
In other news, Reuters reports that a Dutch centenarian who caught COVID-19 managed to survive, joining an Italian centenarian who found herself faced with an infection that’s much more lethal for seniors and those with co-occurring medical problems, especially those involving the respiratory system.
Meanwhile, as we mentioned earlier, Bay Area officials extended their stay inside orders until May 3, tacking on another 2 weeks as the deadline nears.
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Update (1530ET): A slew of states of reported new figures over the last hour. The highlight: New Jersey. The state has solidified its spot as No. 2 behind New York in terms of deaths and number of cases.
According to NJ.com, the number of coronavirus deaths in New Jersey surged to 267 on Tuesday with the largest single-day increase in deaths as the outbreak continues to widen with 18,696 total coronavirus cases statewide. There were 69 new deaths reported Tuesday, including a Passaic County Firefighter.
“Each of them a precious life lost from our New Jersey family,” said Gov. Phil Murphy during a press briefing at the Trenton War Memorial during Tuesday’s coronavirus press briefing. “Sadly, we know this number will grow. Stay at home before this hits home.”
Department of Health Commissioner Judy Persichilli provided age ranges of those who died.
- 3 people less than 30 years old
- 12 people ages 30-49
- 46 people ages 50-64
- 80 people ages 65-79
- 126 people over 80
So far, the state has tested more than 45,000 people and 40% have tested positive. On Tuesday, 2,196 new positive tests were reported.
Here’s a breakdown of cases in the broader area:
California now has 6,932 confirmed virus cases statewide, with 150 deaths and 1,617 people hospitalized, according to ABC 7.
Gov. Gavin Newsom said that the ‘stay at home’ order in the Bay Area has been extended until May 3, while Mayor de Blasio revealed Tuesday that he has released 900 inmates from Rikers, a city jail where an outbreak has been reported.
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Update (1450ET): One recent projection getting a lot of play after being cited by Gov. Cuomo earlier: Projections from the University of Washington show COVID-19 could cause nearly 84,000 deaths in the U.S. by early August, with as many as 2,214 deaths a day at the nation’s peak in two weeks. That apex is expected to occur sooner in New York, the hardest-hit U.S. state with 75,795 confirmed cases and 1,550 deaths so far, per WSJ.
Before we go, we’d like to share this great FT chart comparing the US outbreak to China’s, which illustrates the administration’s failure to contain the outbreak mostly to one province or state, like China succeeded in doing.
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Update (1410ET): In a case that threatens a massive, destabilizing outbreak among one of the world’s most vulnerable communities, a female migrant living in a camp outside Athens has tested positive for coronavirus after giving birth at a maternity clinic in the Greek capital, the migration ministry said on Tuesday. Earlier, New York Gov. Cuomo said he expects to receive fewer than 15% of the ventilators he ordered from China as he slammed the federal government for failing to help his state brace for what experts warn could be an overwhelming crush of new cases.
Stephen Powis, medical director of NHS England, has said that the number of new coronavirus cases in the UK is showing a sign of a “plateau”, the first indication of positive news, in the country, as Prince Charles exits quarantine. Still, the UK did see the single highest increase in deaths on Monday, with 381 deaths recorded, taking the countrywide total to 1,789. Meanwhile, total cases climbed to 25,150.
Turkey reported 2,704 new cases of coronavirus, bringing its total to 13,531 cases after its largest single-day increase by far.
France reported 499 deaths in 24 hours, bringing its total to 3,523, making France the latest country, after the US, to surpass China’s death toll (or at least the official death toll). It also reported its largest one-day jump in cases, with the total rising 17% in one day to reach 52,128, compared with 44,550 the previous day. The number of people hospitalized remains at 22,757, including 5,565 serious cases in intensive care, AFP reports.
Finally, the global death total has passed 40k, as Illinois Gov JB Pritzker just said he would extend his ‘stay at home’ order until April 30.
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Update (1315ET): If you’re looking for somewhere to get tested in North Jersey…
— Governor Phil Murphy (@GovMurphy) March 31, 2020
…don’t worry, Tony Soprano would want you to.
In other news, the latest rash of deaths reported in New York and elsewhere across the country pushed the US death toll past China’s number, making the US the latest nation, joining Italy and Spain, to surpass China’s death toll. As of late Tuesday morning, the American death toll was at least 3,393 deaths, compared with China’s 3,305, according to Reuters.
Though China’s numbers are still in doubt (the country admitted on Tuesday that roughly 1,500 of “asymptomatic” spreaders who had tested positive were left out of its official count), the US has at least passed China’s “official” numbers. But how far those numbers are from the truth is difficult to say.
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Update (1210ET): Italy reports 4,053 new cases, about even with 4,050 yesterday, bringing its national total to 105,792, along with 837 deaths, bringing its death toll to 12,428.
No real movement compared with yesterday, but at least it’s not a bounce.
Back in New York, various projections indicate the coronavirus case peak in NY state could be within the next 7-21 days, Gov. Cuomo says, as his state outpaces Hubei as the global ‘epicenter’ of the coronavirus outbreak. With 43,139 confirmed cases, New York City accounts for more than half of all cases in New York state, and nearly a quarter of all cases nationwide.
Cuomo added on Tuesday that so far, the city has secured just 2,500 of the 15,000 ventilators it was hoping to accrue.
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Update (1200ET): A swath of new cases announced in New York, along with new cases announced around the world, the number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 around the world has risen above 800k. According to Johns Hopkins, there are now 809,608 cases, as of noon on Tuesday
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Update (1145T): Minutes after the world learned about his brother’s diagnosis, NY Gov. Andrew Cuomo started Tuesday’s press conference by warning that the outbreak has been “more dangerous” than expected, as new cases jumped 14% overnight.
Coronavirus cases in New York state jumped 14% overnight to 75,795 while 1,550 people have died from COVID-19, Gov. Andrew Cuomo said Tuesday.
“I’m tired of being behind this virus. We’ve been behind this virus from day one,” Cuomo said at a press conference in Albany. “We underestimated this virus. It’s more powerful, it’s more dangerous than we expected.”
NYC also reported the first death of a minor from complications caused by COVID-19. The patient reportedly had other underlying conditions. Earlier reports of a minor dying from COVID-19 in LA County were later refuted, though a teen in Chicago died over the weekend.
Earlier on Tuesday, Cuomo and Mayor Bill de Blasio welcomed the arrival of a Navy hospital ship, the USNS Comfort, which arrived in New York. It will provide space for non-COVID-19 patients, to help relieve New York hospitals dealing with a rapidly expanding load of coronavirus patients.
Cuomo said that he had been in discussions about the ventilator situation, and said the state has continued to look into using one ventilators for 2 patients, something that’s “not ideal”, but might be necessary if the case-load in New York State continues to balloon Earlier, FEMA promised more ambulances and EMTs for NY, but didn’t say anything about ventilators.
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Update (1100ET): The novel coronavirus outbreak in the US has reached yet another grim milestone: the number of casualties has surpassed the death toll from 9/11.
The death toll stood at 3,170 as of 11 am ET according to the Washington Post. That’s compared with 2,977 lost during the World Trade Center attacks, the deadliest attack on American soil since Pearl Harbor.
This comes as the total number of cases in the US floats just under 165k.
Meanwhile, in Spain, the government has announced a package of measures to help renters hit by the coronavirus crisis, but demanded that property owners bear most of the costs, making it exceptionally difficult for them. Under the plan agreed by Spain’s socialist-led government on Tuesday, evictions will be banned for six months, rental contracts about to expire will be extended, and micro-credits with zero interest and no commission will be granted to renters, payable over six to ten years. If a renter was unable to pay during the crisis, the landlord would either have to forgive half of the outstanding debt, or restructure all of it so that it was payable over three years.
Cuomo’s briefing in New York begins at 11:30 amET.
— Andrew Cuomo (@NYGovCuomo) March 31, 2020
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Update (1050ET): The UK has confirmed another 1,789 new cases, up from 1,408, bringing the UK’s total to 25,150.
And after President Trump claimed that New York didn’t need to dip into more federal resources yet, FEMA said Monday that it would bring 250 more ambulances and up to 500 more EMTs and other medical personnel to the area, following reports about Elmhurst hospital being “flooded” with ambulance calls.
— Steven Bognar (@Bogs4NY) March 31, 2020
But if it wants more ventilators, it’s going to need to wait until May, probably.
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Update (1015ET): The American public on Tuesday is expected to get its first look at the statistical models guiding the policy decisions that have led governors and mayors across the country to order more than 250 million people to ‘just stay home’.
It is expected to be unsettling. Dr. Deb Birx, the White House coordinator for the virus response team, tried to brace both President Trump and the country for some tough weeks ahead: Even if all of the social distancing guidelines are followed “perfectly,” she said, the death toll in the nation could reach 100,000 to 200,000.
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Update (0810ET): A WHO official said the coronavirus epidemic is far from over in Asia even if the focus of the epidemic has shifted to the US and Europe.
The official also stated that measures to reduce transmission will not remove risks as long as the pandemic continues and that steps to reduce transmission can buy time to prepare for large-scale community transmission, while the official added that there are more than 50 candidate vaccines for coronavirus and several trials are ongoing.
“Last night, Trump said we can save more than 1 million lives by following social distancing guidelines vigorously. President Trump also stated that there are challenging times ahead for the next 30 days and that 1 million Americans have now been tested.”
Sweden reports another batch of COVID-19 cases, bringing its total to 4,435.
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Yesterday, the entire Washington DC area was shut down as the governors of Maryland and Virginia joined Muriel Bowser, the mayor of Washington, DC, in issuing “shelter in place” orders (with the threat of massive fines for scofflaws), as the region joined Greater New York, San Francisco and the rest of the Bay Area, Cook County, Greater Seattle and LA County in being completely locked down.
Still, the US case total climbed at an almost unbelievable rate, as the US case total passed 164,000 Tuesday morning, as stock futures traded mildly in the red, though they were essentially flat on the session.
On Sunday, France and Italy also reported their largest single-day jump in deaths, according to their official tallies, capping off a string of ever-higher highs.
On Monday, it was America’s turn, as the US reported more than 500 deaths for the first time, according to reports published early Tuesday.
But it’s not just that: The US has recorded the biggest daily jump in new cases of any country since the novel coronavirus first made the jump from animal to human (or…whatever) in Wuhan back in December. Even as the overall percentage rate slowed, the US still added more than 20,000 cases on Monday, with its daily rate slowing to 14% from 16%, per the FT. Monday also marked the first time that the US reported more than 500 deaths from COVID-19 in a single day, according to the Washington Post.
Worldwide, 61,404 people were diagnosed with COVID-19 on Monday, bringing the global total to 786,876, while the death toll increased by 3,723 to 37,839, on track to double in less than a week.
A day after the country started expanding a lockdown first rolled out in Moscow late last week, Russia reported 500 new cases of coronavirus on Tuesday, its largest daily increase by far, as the total number of infections surged 27% to 2,337. While the number of deaths recorded nearly doubled overnight to 17.
On Tuesday, Thailand warned on Tuesday that it would criminally prosecute anyone who claimed to have coronavirus as an April Fool’s Day prank, while, in the US, another individual has been arrested for making a terrorist threat by coughing on them and pretending to be carrying the coronavirus.
Most of the new cases reported in the US yesterday – cases and deaths, that is – happened in New York. In a tribute to medical workers battling the virus on the front lines, the Empire State Building flashed red and white on Monday night to symbolize “America’s heartbeat,” lighting up the top of the iconic building.
— Rita J. King (@RitaJKing) March 31, 2020
Amusingly, Beijing announced on Tuesday that it would start disclosing the number of patients who are asymptomatic but found to have contracted the virus. The decision to be more ‘transparent’ with its numbers makes one wonder why China is doing this now? After all, if China were testing on the level of, say, South Korea, it’s possible that you could have seen millions of cases. Is Beijing really going to try and retake the No. 1 spot as the US comes along and starts mass reporting? Or is this merely a ploy to try and make their accounting look more legitimate at a time when even mainstream medical experts are speculating that the true extent of the US outbreak likely won’t ever be known, according to the SCMP.
A new “coronavirus bill” passed by the Hungarian Parliament on Monday granted PM Viktor Orban sweeping new powers to lead the country, the Washington Post reported. Orban now has the power to govern “unchallenged for as long as he sees fit,” a move rights groups said effectively suspends democracy in the European Union member state in the name of fighting the virus, though this isn’t the first time that the “illiberal” whiners have accused Orban of “flexing” his authoritarian tendencies.
Japanese TV station NHK reported Tuesday that Tokyo had confirmed 78 more cases of coronavirus on Tuesday, citing an unidentified government person, marking the fourth or fifth day in a row that the city had reported a surprisingly large bump in new cases, mostly traced to foreigners.
Speaking of infections caused by foreigners, the NHC promised to start including the “asymptomatic” figures starting on Wednesday, as Beijing clarifies that it already asks health workers to record this data, which is…interesting, to say the least.
As of as of Monday, there were 1,541 asymptomatic carriers under medical observation on mainland China, including 205 imported cases, officials told SCMP. Data previously shared with the SCMP suggests that the ratio of so-called “silent” (asymptomatic) carriers to diagnosed sick could be as high as one to three, which would be enough to put China back in the lead for most cases worldwide.
With President Trump finally seeming to accept that hundreds of thousands of lives are depending on what he decides to do with the federal coronavirus response, Dr. Fauci warned Monday night that he is already bracing for a second coronavirus outbreak in the fall, when flu season starts again.
“In fact, I would anticipate that that would actually happen because of the degree of transmissibility,” Fauci responded when a reporter asked about the potential reemergence of the virus in a few seasons.
Also, a troubling caveat: After announcing yesterday plans to build some 50k ventilators in 100 days, Ford and GE, which will be working on a product model by Airon Corp., added that the 100-day clock won’t start until April 20, and it’s likely that most of the ventilators won’t be ready until after the US surge, if one still happens.
To the chagrin of its critics, the US is leaning into its sanctions against the Iranian regime at a time when the Iranian people are desperate, facing an outbreak that far outpaces the country’s ability to control or suppress it. The Europeans, meanwhile, have come up with a counterweight: the German Foreign Ministry confirmed Tuesday that a new ‘financial mechanism’ was used for the first time to export “medical goods from Europe to Iran.” The hope is that the new INSTEX – Instrument in Support of Trade Exchanges – system would shield the involved parties from US sanctions that have hampered Iranian efforts to import medicine and other medical supplies. It essentially operates as a clearing house for trade credit points.
The announcement came as Iran confirmed 141 new coronavirus deaths and over 3,000 new cases within the last 24 hours on Tuesday morning. At least 2,898 people have died in the country already, authorities said. INSTEX was a critical piece of EU efforts to preserve the JCPOA – better known as the Iran deal – following the Trump Administration’s decision to torpedo it.
In other news, WaPo reports that the DHS asked states in a Sunday memo that all gun shops be considered “essential” and should be allowed to continue working, while their workers should be considered “essential” workers.
The CDC is also reportedly considering a plan that would see them adjusting the official guidance to ask consumers to always wear masks when they leave their homes. According to WaPo, which first reported the issue, the issue is still “under review.”
For the third day in a row, Spain on Tuesday announced 849 coronavirus deaths over the last 24 hours, marking another record ‘deadliest day yet’ in an outbreak that has now taken 8,189 lives in the country.
Finally, Beijing has a message for uppity American politicians who expect China to pay any kind of penalty for unleashing this medical monstrosity on the world.
Want China to compensate for US’ losses in the pandemic? 1. It has no legal basis at all. 2. China today is no longer a country that the US can willfully coerce and extort. A few US politicians, they better stop dreaming.
— Hu Xijin 胡锡进 (@HuXijin_GT) March 31, 2020
As more hot spots emerge in Michigan, Louisiana and elsewhere, the FT followed up the NYT by publishing a lengthy feature about the outbreak in poverty-stricken Detroit. The FT story included the following quote, from the administrator of an area hospital, who offered a rare piece of optimism: his hospital is “nowhere near” having to ration ventilators, he said, adding: “I think it’s highly unlikely we will get there, I think the lockdown is working – even though some people still have no clue what’s going on. The $20m question is what happens in 2021. I think it smoulders all year and then comes back.”
Tue, 03/31/2020 – 18:00
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Author: Tyler Durden